Why
the dog did not bark?
If
I remember my Sherlock Holmes right, this question was a key riddle in one of
the mysteries penned by Arthur Conan Doyle.
Well,
I am not equating the US president to that dog, but I think the shoe fits,
particularly in finding a reason for Trump’s selective nyet (yes, he is pivoting strongly towards Russia; it was nyet in the USSR and now, post-USSR, too)
for admitting people from Muslim-majority countries that are “terrorism-compromised”.
Of course, no non-Muslim country has been or is likely to be so done in. Let us
forget for the moment the Irish Republican Army, which as per reports had
strong sympathizers in the US (the New England states). Israel? I will let that
too slide.
I
could never have been a media reporter. I had a strong urge to post this piece
but I was procrastinating. In media terms, I let slip a chance for a scoop. Who
did scoop? The venerable Washington Post, the proud inheritor of Robert
Redford-Dustin Hoffman (Bob Woodward-Carl Bernstein) scooping legacy. So, I am
OK with this, to be beaten to the punch by one of the Grand Masters of the
business.
There
were many hopeful sentiments about Trump doing a presidential pivot once
ensconced in the White House. Yes, sure Trump did pivot, but not in the
direction at least some hoped for. His pivoting resembled doubling down, if
anything.
With
the half-hearted mandate he has got, he has to assert himself in other ways,
and pivoting contrary to expectations helps. How does he do it? He brings in
his spokespeople (such an ugly phrase, so PC) to do the job of spinning. You
have Kellyanne Conway and Sean Spicer doing it, in tandem.
I
was quite sure why Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Egypt and Turkey too, were left out
of the list of nyets. Cairo is a good
city to have a Trump Tower. Of course, you also have Alexandria and Sharm el
Sheikh – Trump Tower in the former and Trump Resort in the latter make good
business sense.
Saudi
Arabia would help make up the cost-cutting demanded by Trump on Air Force One by
stiffing that Muslim-majority and “terrorism-compromised” (Remember Osama bin
Laden was from Saudi Arabia) country.
Pakistan?
Oh, that is a little bit tricky. Trump is addicted to tweeting. He is afraid
that one day he may run out of issues to tweet on. Then, Pakistan is the
reserve topic. And, it would be like two-birds in one stone. He would tweet at
3:30 AM (EST/EDT) how Obama cheated the nation by falsely claiming (Obama is a
habitual liar; after he lied about where he was born) that Osama bin Laden was killed
in Pakistan. Obama, oops, Osama, is still alive in Iraq. Of course, the tweet
would end, “Sad”.
What
about Turkey? Besides potentially lucrative branding deals in Ankara, and
sea-side resorts (Black Sea) Trump can strike with Turkey (Trump will ignore
that Erdogan is a Muslim and has already been compromised), if you remember the
Cuban Missile crisis, it all started with the US positioning missiles in
Turkey. Trump is not a student of history but he would get this tidbit, from
Breitbart (or, is it Breitfart?). So, when (not if) Trump sours on Putin,
Turkey would be a nice option to have. Hence, no nyet to Turkey. Oops, it will then be a resounding NO! To Russia.
So,
it is not a single dog not barking. It is whole bunch.
But,
thinking aloud, it may indeed be a single dog. Trump’s business.
Raghuram
Ekambaram
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